Original market reaction analysis

From the event candle, BTC moved +0.07% in 5 minutes, +0.21% in 15 minutes and +0.09% in one hour. Volume was 1.9 times its prior three-hour average, while pre-event RSI(14) at 60.3 indicated a neutral range. Liquidations in the one-hour observation window were $0K long and $1.1M short.

Returns compare the opening price of the five-minute candle containing the announcement with the close of 1, 3 and 12 candles. They may differ from exact timestamp returns. RSI uses only completed pre-event candles.

These measurements show timing and correlation, not proof of sole causation.

View on the live 5-minute chart →